A disease is considered “endemic” when it exists in a given area and you expect a certain number of cases per day/week/month/year. In other words, year after year there is a baseline of cases you expect to see.
What is an endemic phase? An endemic means the COVID-19 surge has stopped. It won’t disappear altogether – the virus will still circulate but it will be mostly contained. Here are more signs of an endemic phase: It may become seasonal, meaning cases will spike at certain times of the year. Outbreaks may be restricted to a locality or region.
Being in an endemic phase means that infection is at a level that is acceptable or manageable. “This is a level which does not constitute a major public health problem — i.e. smaller numbers of infection, less hospitalisations, and fewer deaths,” said Dr Lokman. But what is considered “acceptable”?
A disease becoming endemic is typically a transitional process that takes place over long periods of time. There are several factors that go into a pathogen becoming endemic, including the .
Hopefully, ideally, endemic COVID will mean annual numbers of cases and deaths similar to the seasonal flu. Granted, COVID cases are dropping fast in the U.S. right now. That’s a good thing. Hopefully that means we’re on our way to the endemic phase, but different people have been declaring us in the endemic phase on and off for the past 12.
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